Aaron Rodgers
PIT

Aaron Rodgers

QBBye Wk 9● med injury riskMarket ADP 198 · QB30
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor8.4
Proj.10.1
Ceiling13.4
AI outlook

Aaron Rodgers - QB for PIT. ADP rank: 107. Quarterback with solid production trajectory. Team context and experience level key factors. Analyst consensus: mid-tier value with situational upside. Sources: FantasyPros consensus aggregation.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Confirmed Week 1 starter, no QB competition (Steelers Depot/CBS, Aug 2026)
  • Reunited with Mike McCarthy, his old Packers-era HC, positive scheme-fit/communication signal
  • Upgraded weapons: DK Metcalf, Michael Pittman, Pat Freiermuth, Darnell Washington
  • 2025 CPOE/completion% (65.7%) at 5-year high -- sticky skill signal even amid scheme change
  • O-line ascending (PFF 21st to 8th by end of 2025), reduces pressure-to-sack risk

Cons

  • Age 42 with 21 years experience -- mobility/arm-strength decline risk, near-zero rushing floor post-Achilles
  • Recurring hamstring injury limited him through much of 2025 (soft-tissue recurrence risk ~38%)
  • New OC Angelichio (no NFL playcalling history) and new HC McCarthy replace a scheme that produced Rodgers' best 2025 efficiency -- scheme uncertainty
  • 2025 TD rate and league-low INT rate (7) are due for regression toward league mean
  • O-line still ranked as low as 23rd (USA Today) for 2026; rookie OT Iheanachor injured in camp
Why our rank differs from ADP

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?198
Blended rank?244
Consensus rank?107
Tier?Tier 10
VBD score?-102.1
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard10.1
Half-PPR10.1
Full PPR10.1
Confidence tier
Low