A.J. Brown
NE

A.J. Brown

WRBye Wk 11● low injury riskMarket ADP 19 · WR8
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor11.8
Proj.13.7
Ceiling16.4
AI outlook

A.J. Brown Patriots WR1. Elite talent in new system. Drake Maye connection. Strong weapons around. Analyst consensus: top-tier WR talent.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Unquestioned No. 1 WR role, should lead team in targets
  • Joins top-3 scoring offense (McDaniels/Maye) coming off Super Bowl LX appearance
  • Early camp reports show strong on-field chemistry with Drake Maye
  • WR age-29 decline curve is soft; not expected to meaningfully erode production

Cons

  • New team/new QB in 2026 adds integration uncertainty vs. established PHI chemistry
  • 2025 efficiency dip (12.9 YPC career low, 7 TD) - unclear if scheme/QB-driven or trend
  • Patriots red zone offense finished 20th in 2025 (57% TD rate), capping some ceiling until proven improved
  • Minor camp thumb dislocation (not considered long-term)
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?19
Blended rank?20
Consensus rank?19
Tier?Tier 5
VBD score?108.8
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard10.9
Half-PPR13.7
Full PPR16.5
Confidence tier
Med