Baker Mayfield
TB

Baker Mayfield

QBBye Wk 10● low injury riskMarket ADP 131 · QB18
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor13.5
Proj.15.8
Ceiling19.8
AI outlook

Baker Mayfield Buccaneers QB. Consistent production. Offensive weapons. Strong arm. Analyst view: reliable QB2 play.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Top-5 projected O-line, fully healthy for first time since 2024
  • Deep, talented WR/TE room (Egbuka, Godwin, McMillan, Otton)
  • Sticky CPOE/completion pct skill historically above average
  • 4th year of continuity in Tampa, system familiarity despite OC change

Cons

  • New OC Robinson ran bottom-5 PROE offenses in Atlanta (run-leaning, caps volume)
  • 2025 season injury-marred (MCL/PCL sprain, biceps contusion, shoulder) - durability question at 31
  • No 2026 TB-specific pace/red-zone data yet, all scheme inference from Robinson ATL tenure
  • TD rate and INT rate both due for mean regression, will compress ceiling weeks
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?131
Blended rank?132
Consensus rank?132
Tier?Tier 7
VBD score?-4.6
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard15.8
Half-PPR15.8
Full PPR15.8
Confidence tier
Med