Brian Thomas
JAX

Brian Thomas

WRBye Wk 7● low injury riskMarket ADP 72 · WR35
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor8.1
Proj.10.2
Ceiling13.4
AI outlook

Healthy Year-3 vertical WR1 for JAX with strong camp momentum, but capped ceiling from a run-leaning offense and crowded target tree (Meyers, Hunter, Strange). TD rate regressed from 2024 outlier level; boom/bust weekly profile.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Full training camp participation, no reported injury limitations as of Aug 9 2026
  • Strong camp chemistry with Lawrence - deep completions and 2 TDs in Day 8 practice
  • Retained OC Grant Udinski entering Year 2, offense finished 6th in PPG in 2025
  • Elite big-play/vertical skill set provides high weekly ceiling

Cons

  • 2025 marred by wrist, shoulder, and ankle injuries (missed 3 games)
  • Target competition increased with Jakobi Meyers signing plus Hunter/Strange
  • JAX pass rate declined YoY as offense leans more run-heavy under Coen/Udinski
  • Weak interior O-line could pressure Lawrence and shorten dropbacks
  • Rookie-year TD rate was an outlier and unlikely to repeat at that level
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?72
Blended rank?64
Consensus rank?74
Tier?Tier 9
VBD score?34.3
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard8.2
Half-PPR10.2
Full PPR12.2
Confidence tier
Med