Brock Purdy
SF

Brock Purdy

QBBye Wk 8● low injury riskMarket ADP 94 · QB11
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor15.6
Proj.18.9
Ceiling23.3
AI outlook

Brock Purdy 49ers QB. Efficient ball movement. Elite rushing upside. High-volume system. Ring-chasing narrative. Analyst view: tier-1 QB with upside.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Fully healthy, extended long-term ($265M/5yr), unquestioned SF starter
  • Elite camp reports Aug 2026 (ESPN, SI) - 11-13/14 completions in practice
  • CPOE/completion% are sticky positive signals for him historically
  • Rushing floor from mobility adds weekly PPG stability across formats
  • Age 26, entering prime, 4 years experience in Shanahan-rooted system

Cons

  • WR/TE room hit hard by camp injuries (Kittle, Guerendo PUP-P; Evans, Kirk Questionable; Aiyuk uncertain) - could cap red-zone efficiency early season
  • First year under new OC Kubiak - scheme continuity with Shanahan unconfirmed
  • TD rate and INT rate both regress hard to league mean YoY - do not extrapolate best-case TD marks
  • LG spot on O-line is an open competition - pass-pro variance risk
  • No 2026 in-season pace/PROE data yet to confirm play-calling volume
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree higher

underrated floor plus a real receiving upgrade

Full breakdown +

- Never finished below QB10 as a starter, going off the board as QB13 - Added Mike Evans, Christian Kirk and rookie Stribling to the arsenal - Adds a near-touchdown's worth of rushing value per game on top of passing - Evans/Kirk camp injuries are a real swing factor, but Purdy's baseline is strong regardless

Our model
Market ADP?94
Blended rank?89
Consensus rank?75
Tier?Tier 5
VBD score?55.1
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard18.9
Half-PPR18.9
Full PPR18.9
Confidence tier
Med