Carnell Tate
TEN

Carnell Tate

WRBye Wk 9● HealthyMarket ADP 71 · WR34
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor8.3
Proj.10.4
Ceiling13.8
AI outlook

Rookie WR2 target-share bet with WR1 ceiling; No. 4 overall pick, competing with Ridley/Robinson for targets in new Saleh/Daboll offense

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • No. 4 overall draft capital
  • Ohio State pedigree, alpha WR1-caliber talent
  • Strong camp buzz and Ward/Tate chemistry, red-zone TD in camp
  • New Saleh/Daboll staff signals org intent to feature WR position

Cons

  • Zero NFL track record, high variance
  • Target competition from Ridley and Robinson caps rookie target share
  • Titans offensive pace/PROE/red-zone tendencies still unconfirmed estimates
  • Rookie WR TD rate least stable stat — regress any hot streaks
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree lower

Top-5 pick talent, but rookie WR variance plus real target competition keeps us under the market.

Full breakdown +

We rank Tate 83rd (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 70. The No. 4 pick pedigree and camp chemistry with Ward are why he is this high, but Ridley and Robinson contest the target share, the Titans' offensive tendencies are unconfirmed, and rookie WR scoring is the least stable stat in fantasy. We are in on the player, just a round later.

Our model
Market ADP?71
Blended rank?59
Consensus rank?74
Tier?Tier 8
VBD score?42.7
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard8.1
Half-PPR10.4
Full PPR12.8
Confidence tier
Med