AI outlookClear starting TE and Stroud's primary target, but facing genuine target competition for the first time in years from FA signee Foster Moreau and 2nd-round rookie Marlin Klein. TD scarcity (3 TDs in 2025) caps ceiling; volume-dependent floor play. Consensus TE23.
Recent newsStrengths & concernsPros / cons +
Pros
- Established target hog role with Stroud (106 targets in 2025, 2nd on team behind Nico Collins)
- New $12.6M one-year extension signals HOU views him as the starter through 2027
- High target floor even in a down-TD year keeps PPR/half-PPR floor respectable
Cons
- Real target competition for the first time in years: FA TE Foster Moreau + 2nd-round rookie Marlin Klein + Brevin Jordan
- Chronic TD scarcity (3 TDs in 2025, 5 combined over last two seasons) caps ceiling absent a role change
- Age 30, low yards-per-target (7.0 career) means production is entirely volume-dependent, not explosive-play driven
- Caley offense adding tempo/faster pace for 2026 is an unknown for how targets get redistributed among the TE room
Why our rank differs from ADP—Not available yet.
Full breakdown +
Not available yet.