Daniel Jones — QB · IND

AI outlook

Daniel Jones - QB for IND. ADP rank: 75. Quarterback with solid production trajectory. Team context and experience level key factors. Analyst consensus: mid-tier value with situational upside. Sources: FantasyPros consensus aggregation.

Pros

Full-go, no snap limitations reported through camp; teammates/beat reporters say he looks fully healthy
CPOE/completion% (a sticky skill) were strong in his 2025 IND stretch pre-injury
Top-5 PFF-graded O-line (Nelson, Raimann, Bortolini, Travis) should support pressure-to-sack rate, a real skill signal distinct from O-line quality
Rushing ability has historically been a fantasy floor/ceiling raiser for Jones

Cons

Run-heavy, Taylor-centric scheme caps pass attempt volume and red-zone pass share
Achilles tear within 12 months carries real re-injury/setback tail risk and likely early-season mobility discount
2025 efficiency stretch is a small sample; TD rate and INT rate both regress hard to mean
OC uncertainty (Cooter reportedly interviewing for Eagles OC) adds scheme continuity risk
Camp depth chart briefly listed Richardson as co-starter, signaling the competition was not fully settled entering preseason

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree lower

An Achilles tear inside twelve months plus a run-heavy scheme -- the floor is not proven yet.

Full breakdown +

We rank Jones 193rd (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 164. The Achilles is inside the 12-month window with real early-season mobility risk, the Taylor-centric offense caps pass volume, and his 2025 efficiency stretch was a small sample. The elite O-line helps, but we need to see him take live contact.

Our model

Market ADP?	164
Blended rank?	153
Consensus rank?	160
Tier?	Tier 8
VBD score?	-24.0

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	14.2
Half-PPR	14.2
Full PPR	14.2

Confidence tier

Med