Davante Adams
LAR

Davante Adams

WRBye Wk 11● med injury riskMarket ADP 44 · WR23
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor8.8
Proj.12.4
Ceiling16.8
AI outlook

WR2 in top-scoring LAR pass offense behind Puka Nacua; recurring hamstring issues and age-33 edge-of-decline status offset by continued red-zone role and Stafford trust. 2025 14-TD season regressed as an outlier.

Recent news
Davante Adams signs with Los Angeles RamsESPN

Former All-Pro WR joins Stafford and explosive Rams offense

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • WR2 in a top-scoring, McVay/Stafford-led pass offense with real target share
  • Proven contested/red-zone role and chemistry with Stafford
  • Team retained him this offseason rather than trading, signaling continued role

Cons

  • Recurring 2025 hamstring injury (multiple reaggravations, missed 3 late-season games)
  • Age 33, at the outer edge of the 30-34 WR soft-decline band
  • 2025 TD total (14) is a rate outlier and unlikely to repeat at that level
  • O-line interior and full 2026 depth chart not fully confirmed as of Aug 2026
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Priced about right: ADP 45 already reflects TD regression from his 14-score outlier; we sit a few spots lower on age-33 and the recurring hamstring, nothing more.

Full breakdown +

We rank Adams 50th (PPR) against a consensus ADP of 45 -- essentially aligned. His 2025 separation score and route win rate were #1 among 109 qualifying WRs, so the skills have not slipped; we project a catch-rate rebound toward career norms on similar volume with TDs regressed from 14 to a career-normal 8-9. The small remaining gap is age-33 plus a hamstring that reaggravated multiple times late in 2025. (Analyst review 2026-08-31: prior rank 67 double-counted a TD regression the market had already priced in.)

Our model
Market ADP?44
Blended rank?38
Consensus rank?40
Tier?Tier 7
VBD score?66.8
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard10.0
Half-PPR12.4
Full PPR14.7
Confidence tier
Med