Deebo Samuel — WR · SF | FantasyHack.ai

AI outlook

WR3/hybrid rush-catch role for SF behind Evans/Kirk; Pearsall injury opens volume; recurring soft-tissue injury history caps games-played expectation; TD rate regressed.

Pros

Full camp participant, GM says in really good shape (Aug 2026)
Pearsall injury opens WR3 snaps/targets immediately
Dual rush/catch role gives floor independent of passing volume
Track record of top-10 WR stretches when healthy

Cons

Recurring hamstring/soft-tissue injuries 3+ seasons running
Age 30, decline window for YAC-dependent profile
New team fit, depth-chart order unresolved between sources
TD production historically volatile, regressed down
2026 scheme/pace under new OC Kubiak unconfirmed

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree lower

Three straight years of soft-tissue injuries at 30 -- we discount games played hard.

Full breakdown +

We rank Samuel 145th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 127. The recurring hamstring pattern (2022-24) drives a 75-80% games-played discount, he is 30 with a YAC-dependent profile, and the SF role behind Evans and Kirk is unresolved in a new scheme. The healthy weeks will look great; we are pricing the full season.

Our model

Market ADP?	127
Blended rank?	125
Consensus rank?	86
Tier?	Tier 12
VBD score?	-24.5

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	5.4
Half-PPR	6.9
Full PPR	8.4

Confidence tier

Low