Derrick Henry
BAL

Derrick Henry

RBBye Wk 13● low injury riskMarket ADP 17 · RB9
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 14.9 / 17
Floor12.2
Proj.14.9
Ceiling18.4
AI outlook

Derrick Henry continues to produce. Ravens elite team context. Experience veteran. Still explosive for age. Analyst stance: reliable RB play with ring-chasing narrative.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Entrenched, unchallenged bellcow role in a run-first offense
  • 2025: 1,595 rush yds (2nd NFL), 16 rush TD, 5.2 YPC on 307 att - no efficiency decline yet
  • O-line run-blocking a strength; offseason guard upgrades target the one weakness (pass pro), not run blocking
  • No current injury designation; healthy entering camp per Aug 2026 reporting
  • Vegas win total of 11.5 (tied for NFL highest) signals positive game script

Cons

  • Age 32, 300+ carries in each of last two years - heavy-workload decline curve for backs 29+ is a real historical pattern
  • New HC Jesse Minter (defensive background, first season) creates scheme-continuity uncertainty
  • Minimal receiving role caps PPR ceiling
  • Two straight 16-rush-TD seasons carry real TD regression risk toward the mean
  • Footballguys flagging fumble-rate and workload concerns
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?17
Blended rank?18
Consensus rank?10
Tier?Tier 4
VBD score?94.6
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard14.3
Half-PPR14.9
Full PPR15.4
Confidence tier
High