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DeVonta Smith
PHI

DeVonta Smith

WRBye Wk 10● med injury riskMarket ADP 32 · WR15
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor10.4
Proj.12.6
Ceiling16.1
AI outlook

WR1, expanded target share post-A.J. Brown trade. TD-rate regressed upward off 2025 career-low 4 TDs. Recurring hamstring flag applied to floor (~78% games-played), tempered by strong career durability. Rationale: volume-first model; role bump from A.J. Brown trade (PFF Aug 5 2026) drives median; scheme/pace/PROE unconfirmed for 2026 per Stage 1.

Recent news
Smith still sidelinedFootballguys

Remains out with hamstring issue.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Uncontested WR1 role/target share after A.J. Brown trade
  • Elite tackle duo (Mailata, Johnson) stabilizes O-line
  • 2025 4-TD output is a rate outlier, not a role signal - positive regression likely
  • Only 2 missed games across 5 NFL seasons

Cons

  • Recurring hamstring flag (2024, Jan 2025, Aug 2026 camp)
  • Offensive pace/PROE/red-zone tendency/OC scheme unconfirmed for 2026
  • New WR room (Wicks, Lemon, Moore) could siphon low-value targets
  • Vegas win total only 10.5, Under favored -145 (BetMGM, Aug 8 2026) - not a high-volume-offense projection
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?32
Blended rank?32
Consensus rank?32
Tier?Tier 6
VBD score?80.7
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard9.8
Half-PPR12.6
Full PPR15.3
Confidence tier
Med