Geno Smith
NYJ

Geno Smith

QBBye Wk 13● HealthyMarket ADP 193 · QB29
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor7.6
Proj.9.7
Ceiling13.4
AI outlook

Geno Smith - QB for NYJ. ADP rank: 99. Quarterback with solid production trajectory. Team context and experience level key factors. Analyst consensus: mid-tier value with situational upside. Sources: FantasyPros consensus aggregation.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Elite career completion%/CPOE, historically sticky skill
  • Full-time starting job locked in, strong Aug 2026 camp reports (11/11, 3 TD in one practice)
  • Garrett Wilson + Breece Hall (pass-catching back) give a real target/volume floor
  • No 2026 injury designation as of 8/9/26

Cons

  • Age 35, 13th year - decline risk on arm strength/mobility, minimal rushing upside
  • Brand-new OC (Frank Reich) and new team - scheme fit/chemistry unproven, no verified 2026 pace/PROE data
  • Jets projected 5.5 wins - negative game script raises volume but also INT/sack risk (thin OT depth)
  • TD rate is boom/bust and due to regress toward league mean either direction
Why our rank differs from ADP

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?193
Blended rank?273
Consensus rank?99
Tier?Tier 11
VBD score?-120.3
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard9.7
Half-PPR9.7
Full PPR9.7
Confidence tier
Med