Isiah Pacheco — RB · DET

AI outlook

Backup RB behind Jahmyr Gibbs on DET (signed 2026 to replace David Montgomery). Real ceiling as a handcuff/complementary goal-line back, low floor given depth-chart position and an unusually varied injury history (fibula fracture 2024, MCL, shoulder, concussion, hand/wrist) that does not fit standard rule-based injury tiers -- judgment call to high risk.

Pros

Clear backup/complementary role with goal-line upside behind Gibbs
Downhill running style produces above-expectation YAC per attempt when healthy
Direct injury-replacement path if Gibbs misses time

Cons

Buried behind entrenched starter Jahmyr Gibbs in a run-first Petzing offense
Extensive multi-season injury history (fibula fracture 2024, MCL, shoulder, concussion, hand/wrist)
New team, new scheme, competing with Sione Vaki in camp
Two straight injury-limited, unproductive seasons in KC prior to release

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree lower

Buried behind Jahmyr Gibbs with an extensive injury history -- handcuff price for a non-handcuff floor.

Full breakdown +

We rank Pacheco 290th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 161. He is a backup behind an entrenched Gibbs, coming off two straight injury-limited seasons in KC, with a varied injury history (fibula, MCL, shoulder, concussion). The ADP pays for the Gibbs-out scenario; the base case is minimal touches.

Our model

Market ADP?	169
Blended rank?	312
Consensus rank?	146
Tier?	Tier 16
VBD score?	-94.8

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	3.8
Half-PPR	4.2
Full PPR	4.6

Confidence tier

Low