Jakobi Meyers — WR · JAX

AI outlook

JAX WR2/slot possession receiver behind Brian Thomas Jr.; signed 3yr/$60M (Jan 2026); crowded room with Travis Hunter and Parker Washington caps ceiling. TD rate regressed down given unstable career TD-rate history. Concussion history (2022, 2023) flagged as tail risk. Sources: SI/Onsi, Spotrac, CBS Sports, Draft Sharks, PFF (Aug 2026).

Pros

Signed 3yr/$60M in Jan 2026 - clear organizational investment in his role
Reliable possession/slot profile with strong target-earning ability, favorable for PPR floor
Trevor Lawrence has historically leaned on high-floor underneath options

Cons

Crowded WR room (BTJ, Hunter, Washington) limits target-share ceiling
Career TD rate is low relative to volume - regressed further given TD-rate instability
Age 29 entering WR decline window
Concussion history creates tail-risk of missed time

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree lower

High-floor possession role, but a crowded room and a career-low TD rate cap the ceiling.

Full breakdown +

We rank Meyers 105th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 94. Thomas, Hunter, and Washington compress the target share, his career TD rate runs low for his volume, and he is 29 with a two-concussion history. The floor is bankable; there is no spike-week case at this price.

Our model

Market ADP?	100
Blended rank?	97
Consensus rank?	74
Tier?	Tier 11
VBD score?	4.4

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	6.1
Half-PPR	8.0
Full PPR	9.9

Confidence tier

Med