Jameson Williams — WR · DET

AI outlook

WR2 behind Amon-Ra St. Brown under new OC Drew Petzing; TD-rate regression expected; no current injury.

Pros

Established WR2 role, no target competition at his archetype
Back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, elite big-play ability
Healthy entering camp, praised for route-running improvement
No current injury; ACL/hamstring history not recent enough to discount

Cons

New OC Petzing's Arizona history is run-first/heavy-personnel — volume risk
2025 TD rate (10.8%) unsustainable, due for regression
High-variance boom/bust weekly profile
O-line in transition could affect offensive efficiency

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree lower

suspension plus LaPorta's return caps the target path that made him last year

Full breakdown +

- Missing 4 games to start the season on a gambling suspension - Career-year production in 2025 came mostly after LaPorta's injury opened up targets - LaPorta back healthy in 2026, competing for the same catchable-target space - Boom/bust profile means the games he does play carry real weekly volatility

Our model

Market ADP?	44
Blended rank?	44
Consensus rank?	41
Tier?	Tier 7
VBD score?	59.1

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	10.1
Half-PPR	12.3
Full PPR	14.5

Confidence tier

Med