Jayden Daniels — QB · WAS

AI outlook

Jayden Daniels sophomore season quarterback. Improving year-2 trajectory expected. Strong WFT offense development. Emerging dual-threat. Analyst view: QB2 upside play.

Pros

Elite, proven rushing floor: 8.8 carries per game over past 2 seasons, RB-like goal-line/scramble equity
Entering third year fully healthy per Aug 2026 camp reports, full participant
Added real weapons (Diggs, Okonkwo) should support pass-game efficiency and red-zone looks
Young (25) with clear athletic/rushing upside ceiling shown in 2024 (2nd among QBs in rush yards)

Cons

2025 lost 10 games to elbow injury plus a hamstring strain - durability question mark despite current health
Starting LT Tunsil out with triceps tear increases pressure/sack rate and physical risk for a QB who takes hits scrambling
First-year play-caller (Blough) and O-line uncertainty are unresolved variables not yet reflected in any 2026 pace/PROE data
2024 efficiency marks (low INT rate, high TD rate) are due for regression toward league mean

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree higher

A near-9-carry-per-game rushing floor underwrites his scoring even if the pass efficiency regresses.

Full breakdown +

We rank Daniels 58th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 73. His rushing volume (8.8 carries per game over two seasons) gives him RB-like goal-line and scramble equity that holds up even as the 2024 efficiency regresses, and he is fully healthy with added weapons in Diggs and Okonkwo. The market is pricing last year's missed games, not this year's floor.

Our model

Market ADP?	80
Blended rank?	76
Consensus rank?	69
Tier?	Tier 3
VBD score?	76.3

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	19.5
Half-PPR	19.5
Full PPR	19.5

Confidence tier

Med