Joe Burrow
CIN

Joe Burrow

QBBye Wk 6● med injury riskMarket ADP 56 · QB3
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor18.7
Proj.22.6
Ceiling27.9
AI outlook

Joe Burrow continues to be elite talent in Bengals system. Ja'Marr Chase complement makes this a dual-threat stack opportunity. Strong accuracy and decision-making. Analyst consensus: top QB2.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Full weapon continuity - Chase, Higgins, Gesicki, Chase Brown all return healthy
  • Bengals ranked 1st in NFL in PROE (2025) and 2nd-best red-zone TD efficiency under OC Dan Pitcher
  • All 5 O-line starters return (rare continuity), rookie G Fairchild graded well
  • Elite recent per-game production (2.4 pass TD/game over last 25 starts) when on the field

Cons

  • Missed significant time in 2025 (turf toe) and 2023 (wrist surgery) - multi-year injury pattern
  • Improved Bengals defense could shift game scripts toward lower-volume passing
  • O-line quality contested among analysts (14th vs 28th) - pass-pro risk to Burrow's health
  • High recent TD rate likely regresses toward career mean
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?56
Blended rank?57
Consensus rank?59
Tier?Tier 2
VBD score?109.4
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard22.6
Half-PPR22.6
Full PPR22.6
Confidence tier
High