Jordan Love
GB

Jordan Love

QBBye Wk 11● HealthyMarket ADP 134 · QB19
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor13.8
Proj.16.5
Ceiling20.2
AI outlook

Jordan Love Packers QB. Elite accuracy. MVP-level talent. Strong team. Analyst consensus: tier-1 QB.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • 2025 EPA/play 2nd in NFL, elite arm talent and improved decision-making
  • Weapons upgraded/healthy: Watson, Reed, Golden, Kraft (Wk1), plus Musgrave/Whyle depth
  • LaFleur has explicitly stated tempo/no-huddle increase as 2026 camp priority
  • No injury-risk history to discount workload or efficiency

Cons

  • Offense structurally run-first: fewest drives/game NFL 2025, 25th in PROE, only 6 games with positive PROE
  • OL is weaker/unsettled entering 2026 (Jenkins/Walker losses, camp pass-pro concerns) which raises sack/pressure risk
  • Poor low-red-zone TD conversion in 2025 (tied 28th) caps rushing/passing TD equity near the goal line
  • TD rate and INT rate both due for mean regression, adding variance to weekly outputs
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree higher

Second-best EPA per play in football last year, priced as a QB15-17 -- that is a value tier.

Full breakdown +

We rank Love 104th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 138. His 2025 EPA/play trailed only Drake Maye, his weapons are healthy and upgraded, and LaFleur has made tempo a stated 2026 priority. The run-first scheme caps volume, which is why he is not higher -- but the market is paying for that cap twice.

Our model
Market ADP?134
Blended rank?127
Consensus rank?149
Tier?Tier 7
VBD score?0.0
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard16.5
Half-PPR16.5
Full PPR16.5
Confidence tier
Med