Josh Downs
IND

Josh Downs

WRBye Wk 13● low injury riskMarket ADP 99 · WR44
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor6.9
Proj.8.7
Ceiling11.4
AI outlook

Josh Downs - WR for IND. ADP rank: 90. Wide receiver with growing role in offense. Route running and target share critical for projection. Analyst consensus: mid-tier value with situational upside. Sources: FantasyPros consensus aggregation.

Recent news
Josh Downs (groin) misses practice SaturdayNBC Sports / Draft Sharks

Sat out Saturday's practice in street clothes with a groin injury sustained during camp; no clear return timeline.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Pittman Jr. trade to PIT (March 2026) frees roughly 108 targets, about 20% of team target share, with no proven replacement added
  • Already led all Colts pass-catchers at 24% target share in 2025 while playing a capped, slot-only role
  • Steichen has publicly said the offense wants to move Downs around formations to get him the ball more
  • Alec Pierce (ankle, not practicing) camp absence opens near-term reps at a second WR spot
  • Young (age 24) with no age-decline concern on the WR curve

Cons

  • Acute groin injury cost him his first camp practice (Aug 6-8, 2026); short-term availability risk
  • Tyler Warren (TE) entering year 2 is a real target competitor for middle-of-field volume
  • IND red-zone scheme is run-heavy and Jonathan Taylor-centric, capping Downs TD equity
  • No 2026 preseason snap/target data yet to confirm the expanded role materializes
  • OC Jim Bob Cooter reportedly a candidate to leave for the Eagles OC job
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Not available yet.

Full breakdown +

Not available yet.

Our model
Market ADP?99
Blended rank?71
Consensus rank?101
Tier?Tier 9
VBD score?15.3
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard6.5
Half-PPR8.7
Full PPR10.9
Confidence tier
Med