Josh Jacobs
GB

Josh Jacobs

RBBye Wk 11● low injury riskMarket ADP 79 · RB29
Updated Oct 19, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 14.9 / 17
Floor5.5
Proj.7.6
Ceiling11.3
AI outlook

Bell-cow lead back on a run-heavy GB offense, but placed on the Commissioner's Exempt List 8/30/26 with no return timetable after formal misdemeanor charges from a May arrest. Green Bay traded for Kaleb Johnson the same week as insurance -- treat as a season-long risk-adjusted dart, not a startable RB1, until there is a resolution timeline. UPDATE 10/19, The NFL is removing Jacobs from the Commissioner's Exempt List on 10/19 after he missed the first six games. He is expected to play Week 7 at Detroit.

Recent news
Jacobs comes off commissioner's exempt list Monday, eligible for Week 7 vs DetroitCBS Sports, Pro Football Rumors

The NFL is removing Jacobs from the Commissioner's Exempt List on 2026-10-19 after he missed the first six games. He is expected to play Week 7 at Detroit. Our Week 6 out adjustment covered a game already played, and no further games are confirmed missed.

Josh Jacobs pleads no contest to misdemeanor charges, suspension still pendingESPN, Fox News/OutKick, ABC7 NY

Legal case resolved short of the felony strangulation count, $1,000 fine, still on exempt list with no league discipline timetable. No change to the existing 0.41x / 6-11 game adjustment, note refreshed only.

Jacobs formally charged with two misdemeanors after May arrest (not domestic violence per his lawyers)CBS Sports / WBAY

Brown County DA filed a criminal complaint 8/27 charging Jacobs with misdemeanor battery and misdemeanor criminal damage to property from the May 23 incident at his home. Per his attorneys, the DA elected not to file domestic-violence-specific charges. NFL personal-conduct review remains separate and unresolved -- league has not signaled if/when it will rule. Groin injury already resolved; this is a legal-status update, not a new injury.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Entrenched lead-back role, no real touch-share competition
  • High red-zone play volume (tied 4th, 2025) keeps TD equity
  • LaFleur has stated intent to speed up tempo/no-huddle in 2026
  • NEW 10/19, Cleared to return from the exempt list, expected to play Week 7 at Detroit

Cons

  • O-line regressed on paper (lost Jenkins, Walker), camp pass-pro concerns
  • Offense remains PROE-negative (25th) despite far more efficient passing, capping ceiling
  • Acute groin strain limiting camp reps; May arrest/off-field legal issue adds uncertainty
  • Low red-zone TD conversion (28th, 2025) suggests some scoring was volume- not skill-driven
  • NEW 10/19, Missed the first six games; his role against Johnson and Lloyd is unclear
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree lower

Exempt list confirmed 8/30 -- indefinite absence, no return timetable

Full breakdown +

- Placed on Commissioner's Exempt List 8/30/26 after misdemeanor battery/property-damage charges (reduced from felony-strangulation arrest booking) - No return timetable; exempt-list duration is legal-process-dependent and can run deep into the season - GB traded for Kaleb Johnson (from PIT) the same week as a direct hedge -- org behavior signals they expect an extended absence, not a quick return - games_played cut 13.75 -> 7 (season-long risk-adjusted); stat line scaled proportionally at an unchanged per-game rate, not hand-derived - UPDATE 10/11: pleaded no contest to misdemeanor battery/criminal-damage charges, $1,000 fine, still on exempt list with no NFL discipline timetable announced. Missed all 4 games so far, consistent with the existing games-played-cut estimate.

Our model
Market ADP?79
Blended rank?148
Consensus rank?22
Tier?Tier 9
VBD score?-16.5
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard7.0
Half-PPR7.6
Full PPR8.2
Confidence tier
Med