Josh Jacobs
GB

Josh Jacobs

RBBye Wk 11● low injury riskMarket ADP 74 · RB28
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 9 / 17
Floor6.6
Proj.3.6
Ceiling13.6
AI outlook

Bell-cow lead back on a run-heavy GB offense, but placed on the Commissioner's Exempt List 8/30/26 with no return timetable after formal misdemeanor charges from a May arrest. Green Bay traded for Kaleb Johnson the same week as insurance -- treat as a season-long risk-adjusted dart, not a startable RB1, until there is a resolution timeline.

Recent news
Jacobs formally charged with two misdemeanors after May arrest (not domestic violence per his lawyers)CBS Sports / WBAY

Brown County DA filed a criminal complaint 8/27 charging Jacobs with misdemeanor battery and misdemeanor criminal damage to property from the May 23 incident at his home. Per his attorneys, the DA elected not to file domestic-violence-specific charges. NFL personal-conduct review remains separate and unresolved -- league has not signaled if/when it will rule. Groin injury already resolved; this is a legal-status update, not a new injury.

Packers 'preparing' for Jacobs suspensionNBC Sports (The Athletic, Schefter)

GM Brian Gutekunst said the team is preparing for the scenario of Jacobs being suspended over the May domestic-disturbance arrest; no discipline has been announced and Brown County DA has not filed charges. If the league finds a personal-conduct violation, CBA baseline for this category is 6 games, though some reporting suggests 3-4 could be possible. Groin injury is resolved -- he is back at practice.

Should We Worry About Josh Jacobs' Groin Injury?Draft Sharks

Missed practice with groin injury, not believed long-term per ESPN; Jacobs has missed time in 5 of 7 NFL seasons.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Entrenched lead-back role, no real touch-share competition
  • High red-zone play volume (tied 4th, 2025) keeps TD equity
  • LaFleur has stated intent to speed up tempo/no-huddle in 2026

Cons

  • O-line regressed on paper (lost Jenkins, Walker), camp pass-pro concerns
  • Offense remains PROE-negative (25th) despite far more efficient passing, capping ceiling
  • Acute groin strain limiting camp reps; May arrest/off-field legal issue adds uncertainty
  • Low red-zone TD conversion (28th, 2025) suggests some scoring was volume- not skill-driven
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree lower

Exempt list confirmed 8/30 -- indefinite absence, no return timetable

Full breakdown +

- Placed on Commissioner's Exempt List 8/30/26 after misdemeanor battery/property-damage charges (reduced from felony-strangulation arrest booking) - No return timetable; exempt-list duration is legal-process-dependent and can run deep into the season - GB traded for Kaleb Johnson (from PIT) the same week as a direct hedge -- org behavior signals they expect an extended absence, not a quick return - games_played cut 13.75 -> 7 (season-long risk-adjusted); stat line scaled proportionally at an unchanged per-game rate, not hand-derived

Our model
Market ADP?74
Blended rank?314
Consensus rank?22
Tier?Tier 16
VBD score?-95.3
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard3.3
Half-PPR3.6
Full PPR3.9
Confidence tier
Med