Khalil Shakir — WR · BUF

AI outlook

Slot WR2/3 behind newly-acquired WR1 DJ Moore. Floor-based PPR option; target share compressed by Moore addition. No TD-regression signal, no injury risk. Age 26, healthy, prime years.

Pros

Most trusted target in Allen's progression historically
Elite target-to-catch conversion, high PPR floor
No injury history flags, age 26 prime
Locked in long-term (4-yr/$60.2M extension thru 2029)

Cons

DJ Moore trade removes WR1 target share
Low Bills pass volume (460 att 2025), Allen a heavy rusher
Limited TD upside (4 TD in 2025)
Consensus analysts rank bench/WR5 territory for 2026

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree higher

Josh Allen's most-trusted target with an elite catch-rate floor -- the market ranks him like a bench WR.

Full breakdown +

We rank Shakir 101st (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 117. He is Allen's highest-floor target with elite target-to-catch conversion and a long-term extension locking in the role. The DJ Moore trade caps the ceiling and Buffalo's pass volume is modest, but the weekly PPR floor is worth more than his draft price.

Our model

Market ADP?	115
Blended rank?	128
Consensus rank?	103
Tier?	Tier 13
VBD score?	-29.4

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	5.2
Half-PPR	6.9
Full PPR	8.7

Confidence tier

Med