Log inStart free
Kirk Cousins
LV

Kirk Cousins

QB● low injury riskMarket ADP 256 · QB34
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 9 / 17
Floor10.0
Proj.12.7
Ceiling17.5
AI outlook

Kirk Cousins - QB for LV. ADP rank: 127. Quarterback with solid production trajectory. Team context and experience level key factors. Analyst consensus: mid-tier value with situational upside. Sources: FantasyPros consensus aggregation.

Recent news
Cousins held out after practice fightFootballguys

Benched for violating team rules following an altercation at practice.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Confirmed Week 1 starter with a rookie backup being deliberately held off the field
  • Coaching continuity with Kubiak from Minnesota tenure aids scheme fit
  • Elite receiving weapons (Brock Bowers, Ashton Jeanty) support floor via target/check-down volume
  • No current 2026 injury designation; Achilles injury is about 3 years in the past

Cons

  • Age 37, 14th season -- general durability and mobility decline risk
  • OL still described as a work in progress in camp despite offseason investment
  • Low Vegas win total (5.5) signals a losing team context, historically choppy weekly floor for veteran game-manager-type QBs
  • Rookie Mendoza (number 1 overall) remains a full snap-share threat if Cousins struggles or is injured
Why our rank differs from ADP
—

Confirmed starter over Fernando Mendoza -- our own projection already assumed this

Full breakdown +

Engine rank 559 vs ADP 255.87 (we rank far lower than market -- delta -303). Re-research verdict: stands. Raiders' official depth chart, Yahoo Sports, and CBS Sports (Aug 2026) confirm Cousins beat Mendoza for the starting job in camp/preseason (13/17, 101 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT vs Mendoza's 25/45, 1 TD, 2 INT). Our stored raw_stat_line already projects him as a full 16-game starter (4902.8 pass yds, 26.9 pass TD) -- consistent with this outcome. The current live engine rank (559, near replacement level) reflects the pre-P1-fix vendor-sourced pipeline still deployed in production (fantasy-hack-api PR #92, merged 2026-09-01, not yet published/deployed) rather than a genuine AI misjudgment; expect this divergence to close on its own once that deploy ships.

Our model
Market ADP?256
Blended rank?300
Consensus rank?127
Tier?Tier 12
VBD score?-135.2
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard12.7
Half-PPR12.7
Full PPR12.7
Confidence tier
Med