Malik Willis — QB · MIA

AI outlook

Malik Willis - QB for MIA. ADP rank: 73. Quarterback with solid production trajectory. Team context and experience level key factors. Analyst consensus: mid-tier value with situational upside. Sources: FantasyPros consensus aggregation.

Pros

Locked in as Week 1 starter with full offseason/camp reps for first time in career
Rushing ability provides a real weekly floor independent of passing efficiency
De Von Achane remains an elite receiving-back safety valve
No history of major structural injury (no ACL/concussion) despite 4 years of exposure

Cons

Career completion% has never topped ~60%, a sticky trait that caps passing production
Lost his top two skill-position weapons (Hill, Waddle) in the same offseason
OL in flux (rookie LG, banged-up RT) raises pressure/sack and injury exposure
New OC Slowik has zero verified 2026 play-calling data with this roster — scheme fit unproven
Backup-caliber QB thrust into starter volume; INT rate risk if defenses sell out to stop the run

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree higher

A locked-in Week 1 starter with a rushing floor, still priced like a backup.

Full breakdown +

We rank Willis 134th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 154. He is Miami's confirmed QB1 with a full offseason of first-team reps, and his rushing gives him a weekly floor his passing does not have to carry. The stripped-down receiving corps caps the ceiling -- that is in our number -- but starter volume plus rushing equity beats his backup-tier price.

Our model

Market ADP?	155
Blended rank?	166
Consensus rank?	154
Tier?	Tier 8
VBD score?	-33.5

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	13.5
Half-PPR	13.5
Full PPR	13.5

Confidence tier

Low