Michael Wilson
ARI

Michael Wilson

WRBye Wk 14● high injury riskMarket ADP 79 · WR37
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor6.1
Proj.8.2
Ceiling11.1
AI outlook

Wilson enters 2026 as ARI's WR2 behind Marvin Harrison Jr. in a projected pass-heavy scheme (PFF: ~67.1% neutral pass rate, league-high). His 2025 breakout production largely came when MHJ was out; with MHJ healthy for camp, target share and ceiling compress. Currently working back from a camp concussion (collision w/ Budda Baker, early Aug 2026), non-contact jersey as of 2026-08-08/09, Week 1 clearance not yet confirmed.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Locked into WR2 role in a scheme projected for league-high neutral pass rate
  • Established 2025 rapport with QB1 Jacoby Brissett (15/185 Wk11, 10/118 Wk12)
  • Big-frame outside receiver (6-2/213) fits Hackett's boundary X/Z looks

Cons

  • 2025 production cratered whenever MHJ was active -- target share not safe with healthy WR1 ahead
  • Currently recovering from concussion protocol, Week 1 clearance unconfirmed
  • New OC Hackett has wildly inconsistent red-zone track record (best in NFL at GB, worst with NYJ) -- TD equity unpredictable
  • LT Paris Johnson Jr. on PUP -- O-line continuity risk early season
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree lower

His 2025 production came with MHJ out -- and he is still clearing a concussion.

Full breakdown +

We rank Wilson 117th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 80. His target share cratered whenever a healthy Harrison was on the field, and he is in concussion protocol with Week 1 clearance unconfirmed. The WR2 label is real; the WR2 volume behind a healthy MHJ is not.

Our model
Market ADP?79
Blended rank?110
Consensus rank?90
Tier?Tier 11
VBD score?-6.2
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard6.3
Half-PPR8.2
Full PPR10.1
Confidence tier
Low