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Mike Evans
SF

Mike Evans

WRBye Wk 8● med injury riskMarket ADP 58 · WR29
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor7.8
Proj.8.9
Ceiling12.9
AI outlook

Mike Evans 49ers WR. Veteran talent. Strong team. Athletic profile. Analyst consensus: WR flex upside.

Recent news
Mike Evans out of practice again, this time with groin injurySI.com

Missed Monday practice with a new groin injury, separate from earlier quad issue. 49ers WR room banged up in camp.

Mike Evans exits joint practice with foot/ankle tightnessBleacher Report

Left Tuesday joint practice vs. Chargers with a left foot/ankle injury; Shanahan said he has some tightness and they were being cautious, "don't think it's anything worse."

Mike Evans out of 49ers practice with a quad strainNBC Sports

Missed Monday practice with quad strain in first 49ers camp; The Athletic's Matt Barrows did not call it serious.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • SF committed $60M to him as their signed WR1 -- real organizational volume signal
  • 11 straight 1,000-yard seasons through 2024 before the 2025 collapse -- elite long-run track record
  • Size/contested-catch profile still gives him a real red-zone role even in a new offense
  • Pearsall (2025's low-volume 4th option) on season-ending IR -- minor tailwind to target share

Cons

  • Three separate camp soft-tissue injuries (quad Aug 3, foot/ankle Aug 19, groin Aug 24) -- games-played risk
  • New team/scheme/QB in a historically run-heavy Shanahan offense -- untested target volume
  • 2025 collapse: 30/368/3, 10.6 PPG -- the 1,000-yard streak is over, not intact
  • Recurring hamstring injuries in 4 of the prior 5 seasons -- durability pattern predates 2026
  • Age 33 entering decline curve for the position
  • Kirk/Cowing/Aiyuk still on the roster as target-competitors if they clear their own injuries
Why our rank differs from ADP
agree

Priced about right: real WR1 volume commitment in SF, but a 33-year-old coming off a 368-yard collapse, a career-first team change, and three camp soft-tissue injuries is fairly priced at ADP, not a discount.

Full breakdown +

We rank Evans 56th (PPR) against a consensus ADP of 55 -- aligned. SF paid him $60M to be their WR1 and Pearsall (a low-volume 4th option in 2025) is out, but his 1,000-yard streak ended with a 30/368/3 season, he is changing teams for the first time at 33, Shanahan's offense is run-first, and he picked up three separate soft-tissue injuries in August camp (quad, foot/ankle, groin). (Analyst review 2026-08-31: prior rank 38 assumed a full bounce-back the evidence does not support.)

Our model
Market ADP?58
Blended rank?73
Consensus rank?59
Tier?Tier 9
VBD score?14.9
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard7.2
Half-PPR8.9
Full PPR10.6
Confidence tier
Low