Quentin Johnston
LAC

Quentin Johnston

WRBye Wk 7● low injury riskMarket ADP 84 · WR40
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 15.6 / 17
Floor7.1
Proj.9.6
Ceiling13.0
AI outlook

WR2 in McDaniel offense behind Ladd McConkey; Keenan Allen and Mike Williams both gone, opening target share. Competing with Tre Harris and Oronde Gadsden for No.2/3 target priority. 2025: 51/735/8, career-best volume, but TD rate is due for regression.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Departures of Allen and Williams open significant target share
  • Age 24, no decline-curve concern
  • Played all 17 games in 2025, no chronic injury pattern
  • McDaniel offense historically supports WR2 involvement

Cons

  • 8 TDs on 51 catches in 2025 is an efficiency outlier likely to regress
  • New scheme/OC creates target-distribution uncertainty
  • Camp competition from Tre Harris and Oronde Gadsden
  • Interior OL still unresolved
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree lower

The opened target share is real, but 8 TDs on 51 catches regresses and the new scheme is unproven.

Full breakdown +

We rank Johnston 125th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 87. His 2025 scoring rate is an efficiency outlier we regress hard, and McDaniel's target distribution -- with Tre Harris and Gadsden pushing for the same No. 2 role -- is unsettled. The volume opportunity is priced in; last year's TD rate is not repeatable.

Our model
Market ADP?84
Blended rank?79
Consensus rank?82
Tier?Tier 10
VBD score?13.2
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard7.8
Half-PPR9.6
Full PPR11.5
Confidence tier
Med