Rashid Shaheed — WR · SEA

AI outlook

Outside WR opposite JSN in a three-way target split with Kupp and JSN. Retained 3yr/$51M; camp reports (Aug 2026) show a Darnold-to-Shaheed deep TD and an offensive point of emphasis on getting him more involved, but WR2/3 pecking order behind JSN is unresolved. TD/big-play-dependent scoring profile; no recurring hamstring or recent (within-12mo) ACL flag -- 2019 ACL was college, Oct 2024 knee surgery was a meniscus repair now ~22 months out. Concussion history (late 2025) flagged as tail risk only.

Pros

Retained via 3yr/$51M deal signals SEA plans to feature him
Camp buzz (Darnold deep TD, Aug 2026) and stated emphasis on more passing-game involvement
Elite vertical speed drives weekly ceiling; first full healthy offseason with Darnold
No hamstring or recent-ACL flags -- 2019 ACL was college, 2024 injury was meniscus, both outside risk windows

Cons

Three-way target split with JSN and Kupp caps floor and ceiling
TD/big-play dependent -- low floor in weeks without an explosive play
Concussion history (late 2025) is a tail-risk flag
SEA 2026 pace/PROE/red-zone tendencies under new OC Fleury unconfirmed by hard data

Why our rank differs from ADP

disagree lower

Boom-bust deep threat in a three-way target split -- no weekly floor at this price.

Full breakdown +

We rank Shaheed 167th (PPR) vs a consensus ADP of 129. His scoring is driven by big plays and TDs rather than a stable target volume, he is boxed into a split with JSN and Kupp, and the late-2025 concussion is a tail risk. The contract says featured; the target math says spike weeks.

Our model

Market ADP?	128
Blended rank?	130
Consensus rank?	112
Tier?	Tier 13
VBD score?	-30.3

Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG

Standard	6.3
Half-PPR	7.7
Full PPR	9.2

Confidence tier

Low