AI outlookCommittee early-down/goal-line back behind a Patriots offense trending up; true role capped by 2nd-year RB TreVeyon Henderson, who out-touched him as a rookie in 2025. Efficiency still favors Stevenson, and he closed 2025 as clear lead back, but ADP (~122 overall) reflects real touch-share risk.
Recent newsStrengths & concernsPros / cons +
Pros
- Finished 2025 as clear lead back: 5.7 YPC on 87 carries over final 8 games incl. playoffs
- Top-5 NFL in explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, YAC/att in 2025
- Better pass protector, higher YPRR (1.41 vs 0.98) than Henderson -- keeps 3rd-down role
- Offense ranked 2nd in scoring, 3rd in total yards in 2025 under Josh McDaniels
Cons
- Henderson led team in touches (215), scrimmage yards (1,132), total TDs (10) as a rookie
- ADP ~122 overall / 2025 RB21 PPG reflects committee, not bell-cow, pricing
- Team red zone offense finished 20th (57% TD rate) in 2025; scheme shift to outside zone away from Stevenson power-scheme strength
- Recurring lower-body injury history (2023 season-ending high ankle sprain, 2024 foot sprain)
- Age 28, entering typical decline phase for position
Why our rank differs from ADPagreeNot available yet.
Full breakdown +
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