Samaje Perine
CIN

Samaje Perine

RBBye Wk 6● low injury riskMarket ADP 214 · RB75
Updated Sep 3, 2026
Per-game floor / ceiling · half-PPRProj. games: 14.9 / 17
Floor2.8
Proj.4.9
Ceiling8.6
AI outlook

Backup/passing-down RB behind Chase Brown in Bengals pass-first offense; low-volume role player, not a weekly starter, with roster-bubble risk at age 30 on an expiring 2-year deal.

Recent news

No recent news on file.

Strengths & concerns
Pros / cons +

Pros

  • Locked into a real passing-down role (pass-pro + check-down receiving) in a high-volume, pass-first Burrow offense
  • Direct backup to Chase Brown - immediate lead-back upside if Brown misses time
  • Veteran experience gives him a real role rather than a camp-body depth spot

Cons

  • Age 30 (reported as 31 by some outlets) with roster spot not guaranteed - on a minimal 2-year deal expiring after 2026
  • Low touch share behind Chase Brown as the clear early-down/goal-line back caps weekly ceiling
  • Low standalone value in standard/non-PPR formats given limited carries and TD equity
Why our rank differs from ADP
disagree lower

Passing-down role behind Chase Brown in a pass-heavy CIN offense supports moderate value over ADP264, but confidence_tier is low (age, roster-bubble, capped touch share) -- kept as a modest handcuff bump, not an overrate.

Full breakdown +

Market ADP (247) treats Perine as a low-priority handcuff/backup: he is Cincinnati's clear RB2 behind lead back Chase Brown, with a capped touch share and low standalone value in non-PPR formats, plus roster-bubble risk at age 30 on an expiring 2-year deal (per stored pros/cons). Our model ranks him 76 spots higher (171), which the stored profile supports only partially: the pros cite a locked-in passing-down/pass-pro/check-down receiving role in a high-volume, pass-first Burrow/Pitcher offense, and direct backup status giving immediate lead-back upside if Brown misses time -- both of which would raise weekly floor/spike-week equity beyond what raw ADP captures. However, the cons (low touch share, low standalone value, unresolved roster spot) are comparably weighted, and the profile's own confidence_tier is "low," with td_regression_check null (no specific regression signal cited) and games_played=15. Cross-checking public.knowledge.items slug=fantasy-football-analyst-foundation: no specific documented pattern was found for "backup/handcuff pass-down role justifying a large ADP-vs-rank gap." The doc's general Core Philosophy #1 ("Opportunity beats efficiency, always... trust volume") and its sticky-metrics list (target share, route participation) are consistent in spirit with valuing Perine's receiving role, but the doc never addresses this specific case, so this is analyst_foundation_check=no_specific_pattern_found, not a confirmed match.

Our model
Market ADP?214
Blended rank?252
Consensus rank?
Tier?Tier 13
VBD score?-71.3
Risk profile

Coming soon — we're rebuilding this rating from scratch to make it more accurate.

Projected PPG
Standard4.1
Half-PPR4.9
Full PPR5.8
Confidence tier
Low